Fiscal Monitor, April 2025

This chapter uses novel datasets and real-time sentiment analysis to highlight the importance of design, timing, and communication strategies for reform success, emphasizing governance, trust, and political commitment in challenging macroeconomic environments.
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2025 Issue 001
Publication date: April 2025
ISBN: 9798229002516
$50.00
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Topics covered in this book

This title contains information about the following subjects. Click on a subject if you would like to see other titles with the same subjects.

Public Debt , Uncertainty , Interest Rates , Gradual Fiscal Adjustment , Long-Term Economic Growth , Social Security and Pensions , Energy Subsidies , Public Sentiment

Summary

This chapter examines strategies to build public support for reforms to energy subsidies and public pensions, which are crucial for reducing fiscal vulnerabilities and fostering inclusive growth. Energy subsidy reforms enhance efficiency and reduce inequality, while pension reforms ensure sustainability and alleviate old-age poverty. Resistance arises because costs are tangible, while benefits are diffuse. The chapter introduces a real-time measure of reform acceptability using large language models to quantify stakeholder sentiment. Findings show that careful design, timing, accompanying measures, and governance improve stakeholder sentiment and help advance ambitious and durable reforms. Redistribution policies and strategic communications can mitigate resistance.