Peru: Staff Report for the 2002 Article IV Consultation, First Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement, and Request for Modification and Waiver of Performance Criteria
Volume/Issue:
Volume 2003
Issue 072
Publication date: March 2003
ISBN: 9781451830989
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Business and Economics , Banks and Banking , Exports and Imports , Investments and Securities-General , Economics- Macroeconomics , Money and Monetary Policy , Public Finance , ISCR , CR , government , economy , stand-by agreement , staff appraisal , inflation targeting framework , financing plan , review of Peru , International reserves , Public sector , Private investment , Global
Summary
This paper examines Peru’s 2002 Article IV Consultation, First Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement, and a Request for Modification and Waiver of Performance Criteria. The fiscal policy was tightened in early 2002 from the expansionary stance in the second half of 2001. The baseline medium-term outlook is favorable, albeit not without risks. Assuming sound macroeconomic policies and structural reforms continue, Peru should be able to achieve medium-term growth of 5 percent. However, the domestic political situation contains clear risks, potentially holding up tax reform and undermining fiscal discipline.
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