Banks and Banking , Economics- Macroeconomics , Money and Monetary Policy , Forecasting and Policy Analysis System , FPAS , QPM (core-QPM) , scenario analysis and reporting , conditional forecasting , policy process , core macro model , monetary policy process , enhance staff autonomy , Mozambique , Bank of Mozambique , policy analysis , core-QPM model , IMF publication , Monetary and Capital Markets Department , technical assistance provider , Real exchange rates , Exchange rates , Central bank policy rate , Real interest rates , Output gap