Despite external and domestic shocks, Zambia has corrected macroeconomic
imbalances, reached agreement on most of the external debt under the perimeter of
the debt restructuring, and undertaken sustained fiscal consolidation while
safeguarding social spending. Economic activity has expanded in 2025 but at a slower
pace than initially expected. Despite trending down amid a sharp kwacha appreciation,
inflation remains elevated. The strong reform drive under the ECF arrangement has
improved international investors’ confidence including through recent upgrades of the
sovereign credit rating. Poverty and inequality remain high, and the economic outlook
is vulnerable to external shocks, climate events, and domestic political pressures ahead
of the 2026 elections.